Russia's youth to embrace dawn of a new era
RICHARD FLORIDA
Globe and Mail Update
December 29, 2008 at 12:05 AM EST
Hard to believe, as we enter a thoroughly globalized world in 2009, that as
an elementary-school student, I crouched under my desk every time an
air-raid siren pierced the unsteady calm. I was born in 1957, the year of
Sputnik, and my first political memory is of John F. Kennedy announcing that
he would “stand up” to Russia during the Cuban missile crisis. Back then, in
the United States, we grew up believing that we were engaged in a titanic
struggle against a mortal enemy whose very existence threatened our creed of
individualism, freedom and liberty.
But when I visited Russia this month,
I was struck at how similar it has become to the United States. Certainly,
the country is pushing to develop more of a market-based economy, having
abandoned its state-run economy to the historical dustbin. But it's more
than that.
In Russia, as in the U.S., everything is big. People are loud and
aggressive. Many are overweight. The roads are clogged with gas-guzzling
SUVs. Billboards advertising luxury products dot the sky, and women walk
around covered in designer labels – most of which, as in the U.S., are
knock-offs. In a Moscow airport café, two young women are transfixed by the
Russian version of InStyle magazine, poring over pictures of Sarah Jessica
Parker, Paris Hilton and Scarlett Johansson.
And, just like the U.S. then and now, Russia is security-crazed – from
the contortions required to obtain visas to airport checkpoints, from the
suspicion of anyone taking a photo in a restaurant or hotel to the metal
detectors at the entrances of official buildings, even the security gate at
my hotel's front door. Police sirens blare into the night, reminding me of
city life in the U.S.
But it's among the youth that the similarities between Russia and the U.S.
become eye-popping.
While older Russians still appear to smoke and drink too much – evoking a
U.S. culture more typical of the 1950s Mad Men era than the present –
young Russians, with their jeans, T-shirts, BlackBerrys and iPhones, are
virtually indistinguishable from their Western counterparts.
I had been invited to Moscow along with Megatrends visionary John
Naisbett, Garage Technology Ventures start-up guru Guy Kawasaki and billionaire
entrepreneur Richard Branson to take part in a conference on innovation and
entrepreneurship, meant to encourage a new generation of techies to launch
start-up companies in Russia.
Even as someone who has written about the growth of a new global creative
class worldwide, I was struck by how much entrepreneurial zeal there was among
Russia's young generation.
I asked our interpreter and guide – a twentysomething foreign affairs staffer
– what could account for it. Three things, he said.
One is globalization. Young Russians are well aware that they are part of a
global economy, a global lifestyle and growing global class.
The second cause is communication. With international distribution of
television and movies (including the Russian version of the recent Hollyood
comedy Baby Mama), the boom in Internet and social media, the country's
young people are participating in cutting-edge trends.
The third is language. Young Russians (of whom he is a perfect example, he
said) are speaking more and better English. When I addressed a class in Siberia
last year, many of the students (a self-selected group for sure) engaged me in
perfect English, asking questions that mixed academic insights with
of-the-moment slang. I couldn't help but feel that these young Russians had
developed capacities that even exceeded so many of their North American peers.
They seemed perfectly poised to navigate our global economic terrain.
As I sat in the fashionable Pushkin Café near the Kremlin and Red Square one
evening, musing that the bustling nightlife around me could just as easily been
that of Toronto, New York or London, it occurred me: I was witnessing the dawn
of a new era. The age of the great superpower conflict – of a generation and a
world defined by the Cold War – is over. While both countries remain powerful in
their own ways, they are now subsumed in a global economy that is bigger than
either of them.
At the conference, John Naisbett spoke of the rise of Asia, and especially of
China as not just the world's factory but as a growing centre of research and
innovation. He described new universities, new research institutions (including
one that he runs), high-speed trains and the striking, architecturally
significant new airport terminals being built there. The contrast between an
emergent society in the throes of rapid expansion and older societies that are
living off the past and failing in many ways to embrace the 21st century could
not have been clearer.
While Fareed Zakaria, editor of Newsweek International, describes a
post-American world defined by the rise of the rest, I now think of our era as
that of a post-superpower world. The energy has shifted, and been unleashed, and
it's not just a wide range of countries that matter, but mega-regions such as
the Beijing-
Shanghai corridor, the Mumbai-Bangalore axis, greater Toronto and its
environs, Cascadia in the Pacific Northwest, and all throughout Asia, Europe and
across the world – everywhere the Internet and global airwaves now reach.
Language, communication and openness to new ideas – these are now the
drivers, whether you find yourself in New York or Toronto, Amsterdam or Moscow.
It will be interesting to see how the first post-superpower generation in the
U.S. and Russia handles the looming economic crisis. Judging from the ubiquitous
Louis Vuitton purses and InStyle readers in the Moscow airport, populations in
both countries appear to be in denial about the prospect of a full-fledged
depression. Americans still pacing the malls fervently wish that some
combination of government bailouts, Federal Reserve action and the incoming
Obama administration will save them. Russians cannot bear to think back to the
late 1990s, when they last faced an economic fallout, and have stockpiled
savings and foreign reserves in the hopes of avoiding it, even in the event of a
stock-market collapse.
But it's also clear that we share more connective tissue. A truly global
creative class has emerged and is growing. We are all much more connected and
similar than ever before – much more so than when we cowered under our desks at
the threat of mutually assured destruction when I was in grade school.
Call me an optimist, but that fact bodes well for our shared future.
Richard Florida is the author of Who's Your City? and is director of the
Martin Prosperity Institute at the University of Toronto.
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